地方政府“土地财政”依赖对居民消费的影响研究——基于省际面板数据
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江苏省“六大人才高峰”项目(2012DZXX044)


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    摘要:

    借鉴Lacoviello关于代表性消费者跨期消费效用最大化的理论模型,将非经济性公共品消费纳入消费效用函数,分析地方政府“土地财政”依赖影响居民消费的机理,发现地方政府对“土地财政”依赖通过影响地方政府财政支出结构及房价波动来间接影响居民消费。利用2003—2012年中国30个省区的经验证据、使用系统广义矩方法对理论假说进行了实证检验,研究结果表明,总体上地方政府对“土地财政”的依赖与居民消费之间存在显著负相关关系;考虑到中国城乡二元经济结构,又进一步将居民消费支出分为城镇与农村居民消费支出两大类,发现地方政府对“土地财政”的依赖度与农村居民消费负相关而与城镇居民消费正相关。

    Abstract:

    In the light of Lacoviello, a theory model about representative consumer intertemporal consumption utility maximization, this paper brings consumption of non economic public goods into the consumption utility function, analyzes the influence mechanism of “land finance” dependence on the part of local government on the consumption of residents. The results find that the local government relies heavily on “land finance” to indirectly affect the consumption of residents through the influence of local government fiscal expenditure structure and price fluctuations. Based on empirical evidence from 30 provinces of China from 2003 to 2012 and System Generalized Method of Moments, we make an empirical test of the hypothesis. The research results show that: there is a significant negative correlation between “land finance” dependence on the part of local government and consumption of residents. Taking into account the urban-rural dual economic structure in China, this paper further divides the residents consumption expenditure into two major categories of urban and rural resident consumption expenditure. The results indicate that “land finance” dependence degree of the local government is negatively correlated with the consumption of rural residents and positively correlated with the consumption of urban residents.

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裴育,徐炜锋.地方政府“土地财政”依赖对居民消费的影响研究——基于省际面板数据[J].南京审计大学学报,2016,(4):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-07-14
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