渠道博弈视角下粮食最低收购价政策的效果研究
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国家社会科学基金项目(16BJY119)


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    摘要:

    中国是人口和粮食大国,促进粮食生产、保证粮食安全是国之大事。由于市场利益主体之间存在博弈行为,收购价格由农户与粮食收购企业共同决定。采用纳什议价模型表示议价过程,运用2006年至2014年的小麦价格数据,研究农户和企业在粮食收购过程中的议价问题,从而判断粮食最低收购价的政策效果。结果表明:政策确实能改变农民的议价能力,保护农民利益,但政策实施存在时滞;更重要的是,政策会导致农户议价能力从绝对劣势到绝对优势的突变,造成农户凭借最低收购价获得主导价格的能力,即政策扭曲了市场定价机制。最后,给出模型结果、实证结论和政策建议。

    Abstract:

    China is the big country with a large population and grain, so it is important for China to promote grain production and ensure food security. Because there exists the game behavior among various subjects of interest in the market, the purchasing price is decided by farmers and grain purchasing enterprises. Taking the Nash bargaining model as the bargaining process, using the data about the price of wheat from 2006 to 2014, this paper studies the bargaining power of farmers and enterprises in the process of grain purchase, in order to determine the policy effect of the minimum grain purchase price. The results show that the policy can really change the bargaining power of farmers and protect their interests, but the policy has implementation lags. More importantly, the policy will lead to a change in the bargaining power of farmers from absolute disadvantage to absolute advantage, resulting in the ability of farmers to obtain the dominant price at the lowest purchase price, that is, the policy distorts the market pricing mechanism. Finally, this paper gives the model and empirical conclusions and policy suggestions.

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李陈华a,李元申b.渠道博弈视角下粮食最低收购价政策的效果研究[J].南京审计大学学报test,2017,14(6):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-12-18
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