财政农业支出的农民收入增长效应——基于收入来源的角度
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国家社会科学基金一般项目(16BGL126);江苏省高校哲学社会科学研究重点项目(2017ZDIXM103);江苏省研究生科研创新计划项目(KYCX17_1330)


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    摘要:

    从农民收入来源角度,利用全国1985—2015年财政农业支出和农民人均纯收入数据,基于VAR模型和VEC模型,运用协整检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解分析等方法,考察财政农业支出对农民收入增长的长期和短期效应。结果表明:在长期,财政农业支出对农民人均纯收入具有正效应,但效应较弱;对农民的工资性收入、家庭经营收入、转移和财产性收入的效应存在差异,其中对农民工资性收入、转移和财产性收入效应较大,而对农民家庭经营收入效应较小。在短期,财政农业支出对农民家庭经营收入、转移和财产性收入的效应为正且较强,而对农民工资性收入的效应为负且较弱。此外,财政农业支出对农民转移和财产性收入增长的效应没有时滞性,而对农民家庭经营收入和工资性收入增长的效应有时滞性。

    Abstract:

    From the perspective of the source of peasants income, using the data about fiscal expenditure for agriculture and per capita net income of peasants from 1985 to 2015, based on VAR model and VEC model, this paper makes an investigation on the effects of fiscal expenditure for agriculture on rural income growth in the long run and short run by means of co integration test, impulse response functions, variance decomposition and some other methods. The results show that in the long run, fiscal expenditure for agriculture has a positive but weak effect on the rural per capita net income, in which there are differences on the effect of four kinds of rural income, which are wage income, household operating income, transferred and property income. Fiscal rural expenditure has stronger impact on rural wage income, transferred and property income, but a weaker effect on rural household operating income. In the short run, fiscal expenditure for agriculture has a positive and stronger effect on rural household operating income, transferred and property income, while a weak and negative impact on rural household operating income. Moreover, there exists a time lag difference in the effect of fiscal expenditure for agriculture on the rural income of different sources. There is no time lag difference in the growth of rural transferred and property income, while there is time lag difference in the growth of rural household operating income and wage income.

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张笑寒,金少涵.财政农业支出的农民收入增长效应——基于收入来源的角度[J].南京审计大学学报,2018,(1):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2018-01-20
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