我国宏观审慎监管有效性及其GMM方法检验
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安徽省高校人文社科重大研究项目(SK2014ZD010)


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    摘要:

    采用系统GMM方法对我国宏观审慎监管有效性检验发现,当前我国实施的部分宏观审慎工具是有效的,一定程度上降低了系统性风险的发生概率,但宏观审慎政策与货币政策的协调性较复杂,政策组合除了相互补充协调外,“政策抵消”和“政策超调”的现象也较为普遍,宏观审慎政策弥补货币政策缺陷的作用并没有得到充分发挥。因此,我们一方面要构建宏观审慎工具箱,根据各地情况选择工具,提高工具有效性;另一方面要充分发挥金融稳定发展委员会的监管协调作用,探索宏观审慎政策与货币政策相互补充的逻辑机制,构建货币政策和宏观审慎政策双支柱调控框架,提高我国宏观审慎监管的有效性。

    Abstract:

    The validity test of macro prudential regulation in China by using system GMM method shows that some of the macro prudential tools currently implemented in China are effective and reduce the probability of systemic risks to a certain extent. However, the coordination between macro prudential policy and monetary policy is relatively complex. With policies complementing and coordinating each other, the phenomenon of “policy offset” and “policy overshoot” is widespread. Thus, the role of macro prudential policy in making up for monetary policy flaws has not been fully played. Therefore, on the one hand, we need to build a macro prudential toolbox, select tools according to local conditions and improve the effectiveness of tools. On the other hand, we should give full play to the supervisory and coordinating role of committee on financial stability and development, explore the logical mechanism of mutual complementation between macro prudential policy and monetary policy, construct dual pillar regulatory framework of monetary policy and macro prudential policy, in order to increase the effectiveness of macro prudential regulation in our country.

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郑兰祥,王敏.我国宏观审慎监管有效性及其GMM方法检验[J].南京审计大学学报,2019,(1):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2019-01-14
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