中央对地方转移支付的经济发展不平衡效应研究——基于省际面板数据的经验分析
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国家自然科学基金青年项目(71603281)


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    摘要:

    基于2000—2016年中国省际面板数据,运用系统GMM方法实证研究中央对地方转移支付的经济发展不平衡效应,结果表明:(1)从总体上看,中央对地方转移支付的经济发展不平衡效应显著为正,即它加剧了地方经济发展不平衡程度。(2)从分地区来看,转移支付显著降低了西部地区的经济发展不平衡指数,而东部和中部地区转移支付的经济发展不平衡效应则显著为正。(3)将转移支付划分为一般性、专项和返还性三类,进一步分析不同类别转移支付对地区经济发展不平衡的影响发现,一般性转移支付显著降低了经济发展不平衡指数,返还性收入则扩大了经济发展差距,专项转移支付的经济发展不平衡效应存在明显的地区差异。(4)从不同类别的不平衡指数来看,中央对地方转移支付显著提高了中部地区的组内发展不平衡程度以及东部和中部地区的组间发展不平衡程度,缩小了西部地区中心、外围城市之间的经济发展差距。

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    Taking the provincial panel data from 2000 to 2016 as samples, this paper uses the systematic GMM method to empirically study the economic development unbalanced effects of central government on local transfer payment. The study finds that: (1) Overall, the effects of central government transfer payment on the imbalance of local economic development is significantly positive, that is, it aggravates the imbalance of local economic development.(2)From a regional perspective, transfer payment significantly reduces the economic development imbalance index in western regions, while the economic development imbalance effect of transfer payment per capita in eastern and central regions is significantly positive.(3)The transfer payment is divided into three categories: general, special and returnable. Further analysis of the impact of different types of transfer payment on regional economic development imbalance shows that general transfer payments significantly reduce the imbalance of economic development. Refundable income has widened the gap in economic development, and there are obvious regional differences in the imbalance effect of economic development of special transfer payments.(4)From the perspective of different types of imbalance index, the central-to-local transfer payments have significantly expanded the intra-group development imbalance in the central region and the imbalance between the groups in the eastern and central regions, narrowed the economic development gap between the central and peripheral cities of the western regions.

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詹新宇,白晨曦.中央对地方转移支付的经济发展不平衡效应研究——基于省际面板数据的经验分析[J].南京审计大学学报,2019,(3):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2019-05-29
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