房价收入比促进了产业升级吗?
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教育部青年基金项目(18YJC840047);湖南省研究生科研创新项目(CX2018B329)


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    摘要:

    基于2010—2016年我国276个地级及以上城市的面板数据,探究房价收入比对产业升级的影响,研究结果表明:从全国城市层面来看,房价收入比对产业升级的影响呈显著的U型关系,相对低的房价收入比对产业升级产生了抑制作用,而较高的房价收入比对产业升级具有促进作用;从一、二、三类城市来看,一类城市的房价收入比促进了产业升级,而二、三类城市的房价收入比抑制了产业升级;房价收入比对产业升级的影响具有显著的城镇化门槛特征,城镇化水平高的城市其房价收入比促进了产业升级,城镇化水平低的城市其房价收入比抑制了产业升级。进一步研究发现,房价收入比对城镇人口流动具有筛选作用,影响人才集聚,房价收入比通过人才集聚效应促进了产业升级。

    Abstract:

    Based on the panel data of 276 cities in China from 2010 to 2016,this paper explores the impact of housing price-to-income ratio (PIR) on industrial upgrading. The result shows that, from the perspective of national cities, there is a U-shaped relationship about the impact of PIR on industrial upgrading, in which the relatively low PIR has inhibitory effect on the industrial upgrading,while the relatively high PIR has a promoting effect on industrial upgrading. From the perspective of the first,second and third tier cities,PIR in the first tier cities promotes industrial upgrading,while the PIR in the second and third tier cities inhibits industrial upgrading. The impact of PIR on industrial upgrading is restricted by the characteristics of urbanization threshold. In cities with high urbanization level,PIR promotes industrial upgrading, while in cities with low urbanization level,PIR inhibits industrial upgrading. Further research shows that PIR plays a screening role in urban population mobility,which affects the talent agglomeration. The PIR promotes the industrial upgrading through the effect of talent agglomeration.

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曹策,王真.房价收入比促进了产业升级吗?[J].南京审计大学学报,2020,(2):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2020-05-16
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