数字经济赋能城乡协调发展的实证研究
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国家社会科学基金一般项目(20BJL095)


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    摘要:

    以2011—2020年中国31个省份的面板数据为基础,从理论和实证层面探讨数字经济对城乡协调发展的影响及其内在机制,并采用工具变量法解决内生性问题。基于固定效应模型发现数字经济可以有效推动城乡协调发展,且在东部地区的积极效应更突出;基于门槛模型发现数字经济对城乡协调发展的影响呈现出典型的双重门槛特征,当数字经济指数位于第一、二门槛值之间时,其对城乡协调发展的促进作用最强;基于中介效应模型发现数字经济发展能够缓解城乡居民收入差距和促进地区创业,进而驱动城乡协调发展。因此,新发展阶段应该积极推动数字经济深度改革,在扩张规模的同时注意防范化解潜在风险,进一步发挥数字经济在促进城乡协调发展过程中的积极作用,以赋能经济高质量发展。

    Abstract:

    : Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2020, this paper discusses the impact of the digital economy on the coordinated development of urban and rural areas and its internal mechanism from the theoretical and empirical levels, and uses the instrumental variable method to solve the endogeneity problem. Based on the fixed effect model, it is found that the digital economy can effectively promote the coordinated development of urban and rural areas, and the positive effect is more prominent in the eastern regions. Based on the threshold model, it is found that the impact of the digital economy on the coordinated development of urban and rural areas presents a double threshold characteristic. When the digital economy index ranks between the first two thresholds, it has the strongest promoting effect on the coordinated development of urban and rural areas. Based on the mediation effect analysis, it is found that the development of digital economy can alleviate the income gap between urban and rural residents and promote regional entrepreneurship, thereby promoting the coordinated development of urban and rural areas. Therefore, in the new development stage, we should actively promote the in-depth reform of the digital economy, pay attention to preventing and defusing potential risks while expanding the scale, and further play the positive role of the digital economy in promoting the coordinated development of urban and rural areas, in order to empower high-quality economic development.

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郭守亭,张旺虎,熊颖.数字经济赋能城乡协调发展的实证研究[J].南京审计大学学报,2022,(5):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-10-22
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