人口老龄化会导致中国劳动力就业极化吗?
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

云南省科技厅基础研究计划项目(202101AU070104)


Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    基于我国2000—2021年的省级及八大综合经济区的面板数据,实证检验人口老龄化对劳动力就业结构的极化效应。研究发现:人口老龄化促进低、高技能劳动力就业比重提高,同时降低中等技能劳动力就业比重,导致劳动力就业结构整体上呈现“两端极化”特征,且这一调整过程随着老龄化加剧呈现倒U形趋势。分八大综合经济区来看,东部沿海经济区的老龄化对劳动力就业结构的影响方向与全国样本一致且更敏感;南部经济区的老龄化促进高技能劳动力就业呈“单向极化”特征;大西南经济区的老龄化促进低技能劳动就业呈“单向极化”特征。进一步门槛检验发现,随着人均收入水平的提高,老龄化对劳动力就业“两端极化”效应存在明显的双重门槛特征,且表现出增益效果。

    Abstract:

    Based on the panel data of China’s provincial regions and eight economic zones from 2000 to 2021, this paper empirically tests the polarization effect of population aging on labor employment structure. The research show that the aging population promotes an increase in the proportion of primary and high skilled labor force in employment, while reducing the proportion of medium skilled labor force in employment, resulting in an overall “polarized” labor force employment structure, and this adjustment process presents an “inverted U-shaped” feature. From the perspective of eight comprehensive economic zones, the impact of aging in the eastern coastal economic zone on the labor employment structure is consistent and more sensitive to the national sample; The aging population in the southern economic zone promotes the employment of highly skilled labor, presenting a“unidirectional polarization” characteristic, The aging population in the Greater Southwest Economic Zone promotes the employment of low skilled labor force, presenting a “unidirectional polarization” characteristic; The threshold test found that with the increase of per capita income level, there is a clear dual threshold characteristic of the “polarization” effect of aging on labor employment, and it shows a gain effect.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

赵春燕,李亚波,张佩媛.人口老龄化会导致中国劳动力就业极化吗?[J].南京审计大学学报,2023,(4):

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-08-11
  • 出版日期: