资本市场开放对股票定价效率的影响——基于沪港通政策的实证分析
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国家社会科学基金项目(16BJY174);广州市社会科学基金项目(2023GZGJ01);广东省本科高校在线开放课程课题(2022ZXKC026)


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    摘要:

    以沪港通政策实施为现实背景,选定2012年11月至2016年11月为研究区间,构造股价信息充分性、股价信息准确性和股价对信息的反应速度三项定价效率核心指标,采用双重差分模型实证检验沪港通政策对我国沪市A股定价效率的影响。研究发现,沪港通政策的推出有助于提高我国沪市A股的股价信息充分性、准确性和股价对信息的反应速度,且对国有企业、高股权制衡度企业、高换手率企业的股票定价效率提高更显著。进一步对比发现,资金双向流动交易机制对沪市A股定价效率的影响具有差异性。因此,应有序扩大沪股通、港股通标的股票范围,不断完善资金双向流动机制,提高股票流动性,加速境内外资本市场接轨。

    Abstract:

    This paper takes the implementation of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect policy as a realistic background, and selects November 2012 to November 2016 as the research interval and construct three core indicators of pricing efficiency: the sufficiency of stock price information, the accuracy of stock price information and stock price response speed to information. The double difference model was used for empirical test. The research found that the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect helps to improve the adequacy and accuracy of stock price information of Shanghai A-share and the stock price response speed to information; meanwhile, the efficiency of stock pricing for state-owned enterprises, high equity checks and balances, and high turnover rate enterprises has improved significantly. Further comparison between the Northbound Trading and the Southbound Trading shows that the two-way capital flow transaction mechanism has different effects on the pricing efficiency of Shanghai A-share stocks. This paper argues that actions should be taken to expand the scope of the stocks subject to the connect in an orderly manner, continuously improve the two-way capital flow mechanism continuously, enhance stock liquidity and accelerate the integration with domestic & foreign capital market.

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肖万,刘静蓉,段浩,彭程.资本市场开放对股票定价效率的影响——基于沪港通政策的实证分析[J].南京审计大学学报,2023,(5):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-10-17
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