工业机器人应用会加剧中国城乡收入差距吗?
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国家社会科学基金一般项目 (22BJL126); 教育部人文社会科学基金项目 (22YJC790016); 浙江省自然科学基金重点项目 (LZ21G030003);浙江省哲学社会科学规划重大项目 (24QNYC11ZD)


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    摘要:

    基于IFR数据库中国工业机器人数据,在科学测度2007—2019年中国31个省级区域工业机器人渗透度及城乡收入差距的基础上,细致刻画工业机器人应用对城乡收入差距的作用机制。研究发现:工业机器人应用显著加剧了中国城乡收入差距,因而有效处理机器人应用的收入分配效应能为高质量增长和共同富裕战略的协同共进提供重要支撑;工业机器人应用会通过提升就业技术结构高级化水平和资本利润率两个渠道,加剧中国城乡居民收入差距,且工业机器人应用在高劳动收入份额区域内引致的城乡收入差距效应较为显著;工业机器人应用有利于激发产业结构服务化及合理化的演进动力,并对制造业与生产性服务业协同集聚具有催化剂作用。为此,中国政府应及时和准确地预判工业机器人应用对中国目前及未来较长一段时间内经济与社会发展的动态影响,并在享受人工智能时代红利的同时,平抑其对城乡收入差距造成的负面冲击。

    Abstract:

    Based on the data of Industrial robots in China released by IFR database, this paper scientifically measured the level of industrial robot application and income gap between urban and rural areas in 31 provincial regions in China from 2007 to 2019. Furthermore, the mechanism of industrial robot application on urban-rural income gap is described in detail. The result show that, the application of industrial robots has significantly aggravated the income gap between urban and rural areas in China. Therefore, effectively dealing with the urban-rural income gap effect of robot application can provide important support for the coordinated progress of high-quality growth and common prosperity strategy. The application of industrial robots will aggravate the income gap between urban and rural residents in China through two channels: improving the advanced level of employment technology structure and capital profit margin. Moreover, the application of industrial robots in regions with high labor income share has a significant effect on the urban-rural income gap. The application of industrial robot is beneficial to stimulate the evolution power of servitization and rationalization of industrial structure. It also has a catalytic effect on the collaborative agglomeration of manufacturing and producer services. Therefore, the Chinese government should timely and accurately predict the dynamic impact of industrial robot applications on China’s current and future economic and social development for a long period of time. While enjoying the dividends of the era of artificial intelligence, we must also stabilize its negative impact on the urban-rural income gap.

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陈晓华,邓贺,杜文.工业机器人应用会加剧中国城乡收入差距吗?[J].南京审计大学学报,2024,(1):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-12-29
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