机构投资者长期持股与金融稳定
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江苏省教育厅高校人文社会科学研究项目(2024SJYB0269);江苏省金融工程重点实验室招标课题(NSK202107)


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    摘要:

    以2012—2023年所有的股票型基金和混合型基金披露的每半年度股票资产组合为研究对象,考察机构投资者长期持股特征及其作用机制。研究发现:第一,机构投资者长期持股具有较低的业绩敏感性、较低的股价同步性且与未来盈余正相关。第二,在股市异常波动期间的下跌阶段,投资者持股期限与股票价格下跌成反比,即机构投资者持股时间越长(换手率越低),越能缓解股票价格的下跌。这说明机构投资者长期持股能够显著地稳定金融市场。而在反弹阶段,机构投资者持股期限与股票价格反弹成正比,机构投资者持股时间越长(换手率越低),越能促使股票价格的反弹,进而促进公司价值回归。第三,机构投资者长期持股稳定金融的机制在于有效地缓解了市场抛售压力。进一步研究发现,机构投资者长期持股能够降低金融市场波动;具有丰富投资经验的基金经理,有助于机构投资者采取长期持股行为,这对促进机构投资者长期持股具有一定的政策意义。

    Abstract:

    This paper takes the semi-annual stock portfolio disclosed by all equity funds and hybrid funds from 2012 to 2023 as the research object to investigate the long-term shareholding characteristics and mechanism of institutional investors. The results show that: (1) Long-term shareholding by institutional investors has low performance sensitivity, low stock price synchronization and positive correlation with future earnings. (2) In the down stage during the abnormal volatility of the stock market, the shareholding period of investors is inversely proportional to the decline in stock price, that is, the longer the shareholding period of institutional investors (the smaller the turnover rate), the more the decline in stock price can be alleviated. This shows that long-term shareholding by institutional investors can significantly stabilize the financial market. In the rebound stage, the shareholding period of institutional investors is directly proportional to the rebound of stock price. The longer the shareholding period of institutional investors (the smaller the turnover rate), the more it can promote the rebound of stock price, and thus promote the return of corporate value. (3) The mechanism of long-term financial stability by institutional investors lies in the effective relief of market selling pressure. Further research shows that long-term shareholding by institutional investors can reduce financial market volatility; Fund managers with rich investment experience can help institutional investors to adopt long-term shareholding behavior, which has certain policy significance for promoting long-term shareholding of institutional investors.

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王 春,袁晓婷.机构投资者长期持股与金融稳定[J].南京审计大学学报,2024,(6):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-11-05
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