“把薪助火”还是“杜渐防萌”:税收征管与企业债务违约风险
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国家社会科学基金项目(20BJY023);安徽省高校自然科学研究重点项目(2022AH050603)


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    摘要:

    税收征管变革作为国家治理现代化和服务高质量发展的重要内容,直接关系到企业决策行为与生产经营活动。税收征管既可能预防和减缓企业债务违约压力,也存在加剧债务违约的风险。鉴于此,基于2011—2021年沪深A股上市公司数据,考察税收征管对企业债务违约风险的影响。实证结果显示,税收征管强度的提升显著降低了企业债务违约风险。机制检验发现,税收征管通过提高企业纳税遵从度、优化资金配置结构,进而有效缓解了债务违约风险,但它并不会弱化减税降费政策的惠企初衷;良好的公司治理能够促进税收征管强度对企业债务违约的抑制作用。拓展性分析表明,税收征管力度的增强源自“金税三期”“国地税合并”改革等政策合力;税收征管对企业债务违约风险的抑制有助于提升其主业业绩水平。研究结论为进一步推进税收改革服务中国式现代化,减轻企业主体负担,提振实体活力,稳定经济提供了实践依据。

    Abstract:

    Tax collection and management reform, as an essential component of national governance modernization and services to high-quality development, directly impacts corporate decision-making behaviors and production and operational activities. Tax collection and management can potentially prevent and mitigate corporate debt default pressures, yet it may also increase the risk of debt default. Given this context, this article examines the effects of tax collection and management on corporate debt default risk, utilizing data from Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies from 2011 to 2021. The empirical results indicate that an enhancement in the intensity of tax collection and management significantly reduces the risk of corporate debt default. Mechanism tests reveal that tax collection and management effectively alleviates the debt default risk by improving corporate tax compliance and optimizing the capital allocation structure, without weakening the original intention of tax reduction and fee reduction policies; robust corporate governance can enhance the suppressive effect of tax collection and management intensity on corporate debt default. Further analysis shows that the intensification of tax collection and management efforts stems from the synergistic effects of policies such as “Golden Tax Phase III” and the merger of National Tax Bureaus and Local Tax Bureaus. The inhibition of corporate debt default risk through tax collection and management contributes to the enhancement of core business performance levels. The research conclusions provide empirical evidence supporting the further advancement of tax reforms, which serve the Chinese model of modernization by reducing the primary burden on enterprises, stimulating the vitality of the real economy, and stabilizing the whole economy.

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赵 燕,林佳新.“把薪助火”还是“杜渐防萌”:税收征管与企业债务违约风险[J].审计与经济研究test,2024,(5):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-08-22
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