社保入税能否抑制企业“脱实向虚”?
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国家社会科学基金重点项目(23AGL011)

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    摘要:

    社会保障体系是人民生活的安全网和社会运行的稳定器。作为社保征管体制的重要改革,社保入税影响企业的投资决策行为。以社保入税为制度改革背景,首次考察社保入税后社保费征管效率提升对企业“脱实向虚”的影响。研究发现,社保入税的实施显著抑制了企业“脱实向虚”。机制检验结果表明,社保入税通过保险效应、征管效应和治理效应三个渠道抑制企业“脱实向虚”。异质性检验结果表明,社保入税发挥的抑制作用在政府干预度高的地区、民营性质、劳动密集型、税收征管强度大的地区、内部控制水平以及分析师关注度低的企业中更为显著。进一步分析显示,社保入税通过抑制企业“脱实向虚”能够提升实业投资水平和企业绩效。研究结论为抑制企业“脱实向虚”和防范系统性金融风险的治理策略提供了新视角,也为完善社保费征管体制改革提供了经验证据。

    Abstract:

    The social security system serves as both a safety net for livelihoods and a stabilizer for societal operations. Despite its significance, limited research has investigated how social security taxation influences corporate investment decisions. Leveraging the introduction of social security taxation as an institutional reform context, this study is the first to explore how improved efficiency in social security fee collection and management impacts firms' shift from real to virtual economy. The results indicate that implementing social security taxation significantly curtails this shift. Mechanism analyses reveal that the effect operates through three primary channels: the insurance effect, the collection and management effect, and the governance effect. Heterogeneity analyses show that the inhibitory effect is more pronounced in regions with high government intervention, labor-intensive industries, private enterprises, stringent tax enforcement, and firms with weak internal controls and analyst attention. Further analysis demonstrates that social security taxation promotes industrial investment and improves corporate performance by curbing the shift from real to virtual economy. These findings offer new perspectives on governance strategies to mitigate such shifts and prevent systemic financial risks, while also providing empirical evidence for enhancing reforms in social security fee collection and management.

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曹 越,杨 萍,肖艳芳.社保入税能否抑制企业“脱实向虚”?[J].审计与经济研究test,2025,40(2):96-108

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-03-21