证券分析师与审计师校友关系对盈利预测准确度的影响研究
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

湖南省社科成果评审委员会项目(XSP25YBZ153);长沙理工大学湖南省企业战略管理与投资决策研究基地项目(19qyyb02);湖南省金融工程与金融管理研究中心项目(19FEFMZ2);浙江省高校重大人文社科攻关计划项目(2024GH046)


Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    利用2011—2021年我国证券分析师发布的盈利预测数据,研究发现如果分析师和公司审计师有校友关系,则该分析师对公司的盈利预测更加准确。随着分析师与审计师校友关系的新建和失去,盈利预测准确度随之提高和降低。同一位分析师与一部分被跟踪公司的审计师有校友关系,而与另一部分被跟踪公司的审计师无校友关系,此时该分析师对前类公司的盈利预测更加准确。与审计师有校友关系的分析师更有可能在年报审计期间对公司进行调研,其所发布的盈利预测会引起更强的股价反应,与分析师的校友关系有助于审计师提高审计质量,规避执业风险。这些发现均表明校友关系促进了分析师与审计师的信息交流,提高了分析师盈利预测准确度。

    Abstract:

    School tie as a social relationship has always been a focus of academic attention in promoting information exchange among participants in the capital market. Using the earnings forecast data released by China’s security analysts from 2011 to 2021, this paper finds that if the analyst has a school tie with the firm’s auditor, the analyst’s earnings forecast for the company is more accurate, and with the emergence and rupture of the school tie between analysts and auditors, the accuracy of earnings forecast has improved and decreased. Again, for the same analyst, when he/she has school ties with the firm’s auditor, the accuracy of earnings forecast of the firm is higher than when he/she has no school ties with the firm’s auditor. The analyst who has a school tie with the auditor is more likely to visit the firm during the period when the related auditor conducts annual financial statement audit in the firm. In addition, if the analyst has a school tie with firm’s auditor, his/her earnings forecast revisions cause stronger stock price reaction than the analyst who has no school ties with firm’s auditor. Finally, alumni relationship with analysts can help auditors improve audit quality and mitigate professional risks. These findings indicate that the school tie promotes the information communication between analysts and auditors, and improves the accuracy of analysts earnings forecast.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

郑琦,孙刚.证券分析师与审计师校友关系对盈利预测准确度的影响研究[J].审计与经济研究test,2025,40(3):48-58

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-05-15
  • 出版日期: