柔性税收征管能降低企业不确定感知吗?——基于纳税信用评级的准自然实验
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内蒙古自治区教育厅研究生教育教学改革项目(JGSZ2023046);内蒙古自治区“十四五”规划课题(NGJGH2022501);中国人民大学2024年度拔尖创新人才培育资助计划成果


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    摘要:

    柔性税收征管是推进税收治理现代化的重要举措。从企业不确定感知视角,探讨柔性税收征管政策引致的溢出效应。以纳税信用评级政策为准自然实验,构建双重差分模型检验该政策的实施对企业不确定感知的影响。研究发现:柔性税收征管能够显著降低企业不确定感知。机制检验表明,柔性税收征管政策通过发挥“资源效应”和“信息效应”,进而降低企业不确定感知。企业层面的异质性检验表明,柔性税收征管对企业不确定感知的积极效果在非国有企业和中小规模企业中更为明显;外部环境层面的异质性检验表明,柔性税收征管对企业不确定感知的积极效果在金融科技水平低、营商环境好和行业竞争程度高的企业中更为明显。研究结论不仅丰富了柔性税收征管经济后果以及企业不确定感知的研究文献,也为进一步深化税收征管体制改革提供了经验证据。

    Abstract:

    Flexible tax collection and management is an important measure to promote the modernization of tax administration. This paper discusses the spillover effect caused by flexible tax collection and management policies from the perspective of enterprise uncertainty perception. Taking the tax credit rating policy as the natural experiment, a differentdifference model is constructed to test the effect of the policy on the uncertainty perception of enterprises. It is found that flexible tax collection and management can significantly reduce the uncertainty perception of enterprises. The mechanism test shows that the flexible tax collection and management policy can reduce the uncertainty perception of enterprises by exerting “resource effect” and “information effect”. Heterogeneity test at firm level shows that the positive effect of flexible tax collection on firm uncertainty perception is more obvious in nonstateowned enterprises and small and mediumsized enterprises. Regional heterogeneity test shows that the positive effect of flexible tax collection on firm uncertainty perception is more obvious in enterprises with low fintech level, high industry competition and good business environment. The research conclusions not only enrich the research literature on the economic consequences of flexible tax collection and administration and the uncertainty perception of enterprises, but also provide empirical evidence for further deepening the reform of tax collection and administration system.

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杜雨晴,王金东,王梦凯,杨婧.柔性税收征管能降低企业不确定感知吗?——基于纳税信用评级的准自然实验[J].审计与经济研究test,2025,40(3):117-127

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-05-15
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